← GATCG MRC Store Championships @ Favonia Hobbies
Fire Crux MerlinTier 1
at GATCG MRC Store Championships @ Favonia Hobbies
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
4-1-0
overall winrate
80.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.7%
avg ELO +9.6 per match
expected value
58.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1322
· median 1322
· range 1322–1322
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1049
Q1 1222
Q3 1416
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 31.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.1% | +12.9 |
| Slimes | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 10.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.4% | +19.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Rai | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Crux Merlin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
